Coulomb Stress Change of Active Fault in South Sumatra Region Revealed from Kerinci Earthquake October 06, 1995 Mw 6.7 and Sungai Penuh Earthquake October 01, 2009 Mw 6.6

Authors

  • Rafi Fadhlurrohman Department of Physics, Universitas Negeri Padang
  • S. Syafriani Indonesian Meteorology, Climatology, and Geophysics Agency, Indonesia
  • Furqon D. Raharjo Department of Geophysics Engineering, Universitas Syiah Kuala, Aceh 23111, Indonesia
  • Yusran Asnawi Department of Science, Universitas Islam Negri Ar-Raniry, Aceh 23126, Indonesia
  • Suaidi Ahadi Department of Geophysics Engineering, Universitas Syiah Kuala, Aceh 23111, Indonesia

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.25299/jgeet.2024.9.3.19273

Keywords:

Static Coulomb stress, Background Seismicity

Abstract

We successfully highlight the correlation of Static Stress Change (ΔCFF) in the Kerimci earthquake October 06, 1995 Mw 6.7 and Sungai Penuh earthquake October 01, 2009 Mw 6.6 earthquakes to the seismicity conditions. The data used in this study are focal mechanism obtained from Global Centroid Moment Tensor (GCMT) and seismicity obtained from USGS with M ≥ 4 after the main earthquake with a time span of 11 years. ΔCFF obtained in the Mentawai Fault System area has increased coulomb stress. ΔCFF obtained in the Suliti Segment, Ketaun Segment, and Back arc Basin of Jambi experienced an increase in stress, which can indicate the potential for future earthquakes, but there was no increase in seismicity. Besides that, ΔCFF in areas that experienced a decrease in stress, experienced an increase in seismicity. This is caused by background seismicity in the area and several factors influence the results of the calculation of ΔCFF against seismicity. Simplicity in calculation causes difficulty in explaining seismicity, especially in the blue lobe. Moreover, the use of receiver fault mechanism produces a very large error in the complex regional stress field. The use of a constant friction coefficient also produces a very large error in the calculation.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Adi, S. P., Simanjuntak, A. V., Supendi, P., Wei, S., Muksin, U., Daryono, D., ... & Sinambela, M. (2024). Different Faulting of the 2023 (Mw 5.7 and 5.9) South-Central Java Earthquakes in the Backthrust Fault System. Geotechnical and Geological Engineering, 1-13.

Andinisari, R., Simanjuntak, A. V., & Dhanarsari, R. A. (2024, July). Absolute locations of earthquakes in eastern java determined by using a minimum 1D P-wave velocity model. In AIP Conference Proceedings (Vol. 3077, No. 1). AIP Publishing.

Ansari, K., Walo, J., Simanjuntak, A. V., & Wezka, K. (2024). Crustal deformation from GNSS measurement and earthquake mechanism along Pieniny Klippen Belt, Southern Poland. Arabian Journal of Geosciences, 17(6), 180.

Ansari, K., Walo, J., Simanjuntak, A. V., & Wezka, K. (2024). Evaluation of recent Tectonic movement in Northeast Japan by using long-term GNSS and Tide Gauge Measurements. Journal of Structural Geology, 105258.

Asnawi, Y., Gunaya, M., Prayitno, S., Simanjuntak, A., & Muksin, U. (2024). Simulation Of Earthquake Intensity For Tsunami Prediction And Disaster Risk Management. GEOMATE Journal, 26(118), 17-24.

Asnawi, Y., Simanjuntak, A. V., Umar, M., Rizal, S., & Syukri, M. (2020). A microtremor survey to identify seismic vulnerability around Banda Aceh using HVSr analysis. Elkawnie: Journal of Islamic Science and Technology, 6(2), 342-358.

Asnawi, Y., Simanjuntak, A., Muksin, U., Rizal, S., Syukri, M. S. M., Maisura, M., & Rahmati, R. (2022). Analysis of microtremor H/V spectral ratio and public perception for disaster mitigation. GEOMATE Journal, 23(97), 123-130.

Beeler, N. M., Simpson, R. W., Hickman, S. H., & Lockner, D. A. (2000). Pore fluid pressure, apparent friction, and Coulomb failure. Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 105(B11), 25533–25542.

Bellier, O., Sébrier, M., Pramumijoyo, S., Beaudouin, T., Harjono, H., Bahar, I., & Forni, O. (1997). Paleoseismicity and seismic hazard along the Great Sumatran fault (Indonesia). Journal of Geodynamics, 24(1–4), 169–183.

Charles, G., King, P., & Lin, J. (1994). Static Stress Changes and the Triggering of Earthquakes. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 84, 935–953.

Cocco, M., & Rice, J. R. (2002). Pore pressure and poroelasticity effects in Coulomb stress analysis of earthquake interactions. Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 107(B2).

DeMets, C., Gordon, R. G., & Argus, D. F. (2010). Geologically current plate motions. Geophysical Journal International, 181(1), 1–80.

Felzer, K. R., & Brodsky, E. E. (2005). Testing the stress shadow hypothesis. Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 110(5), 1–13.

Genrich, J. F., Bock, Y., McCaffrey, R., Prawirodirdjo, L., Stevens, C. W., Puntodewo, S. S. O., Subarya, C., & Wdowinski, S. (2000). Distribution of slip at the northern Sumatran fault system. Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 105(B12), 28327–28341.

Harris, R. A., & Simpson, R. W. (1996). In the shadow of 1857-the effect of the great Ft. Tejon earthquake on subsequent earthquakes in southern California. Geophysical Research Letters, 23(3), 229–232.

Hurukawa, N., Wulandari, B. R., & Kasahara, M. (2014). Earthquake history of the Sumatran fault, Indonesia, since 1892, derived from relocation of large earthquakes. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 104(4), 1750–1762.

Hutchings, S. J., & Mooney, W. D. (2021). The Seismicity of Indonesia and Tectonic Implications. Geochemistry, Geophysics, Geosystems, 22(9).

Idha, R., Sari, E. P., Asnawi, Y., Simanjuntak, A. V., Humaidi, S., & Muksin, U. (2023). 1-Dimensional Model of Seismic Velocity after Tarutung Earthquake 1 October 2022 Mw 5.8. Journal of Applied Geospatial Information, 7(1), 825-831.

Idha, R., Sari, E. P., Humaidi, S., Simanjuntak, A. V., & Muksin, U. (2023, December). Response of Geologic Units to The Ground Parameters of Tarutung Earthquake 2022 Mw 5.8: A Preliminary Study. In IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science (Vol. 1288, No. 1, p. 012032). IOP Publishing.

Irwandi, I., Muksin, U., & Simanjuntak, A. V. (2021). Probabilistic seismic hazard map analysis for Aceh Tenggara district and microzonation for Kutacane city. In IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science (Vol. 630, No. 1, p. 012001). IOP Publishing.

Ishibe, T., Shimazaki, K., Tsuruoka, H., Yamanaka, Y., & Satake, K. (2011). Correlation between Coulomb stress changes imparted by large historical strike-slip earthquakes and current seismicity in Japan. Earth, Planets and Space, 63(3), 301–314.

Kilb, D., Gomberg, J., & Bodin, P. (2002). Aftershock triggering by complete Coulomb stress changes. Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 107(B4).

Kuncoro, D., Asnawi, Y., Halauwet, Y., Simanjuntak, A., & Susilo, A. (2024). SEISMOTECTONIC ANALYSIS OF MW 7.6 2023 SOUTH MOLUCCA INTERMEDIATE-DEPTH EARTHQUAKE. GEOMATE Journal, 27(120), 9-16.

Lin, J., & Stein, R. S. (2004). Stress triggering in thrust and subduction earthquakes and stress interaction between the southern San Andreas and nearby thrust and strike‐slip faults. Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 109(B2).

Ma, K. F., Chan, C. H., & Stein, R. S. (2005). Response of seismicity to Coulomb stress triggers and shadows of the 1999 Mw=7.6 Chi-Chi, Taiwan, earthquake. Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 110(5), 1–16.

Marsan, D. (2003). Triggering of seismicity at short timescales following Californian earthquakes. Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 108(B5).

Nadia, M., Simanjuntak, A. V., Arifullah, A., Sugiyanto, D., & Muksin, U. (2023, December). Preliminary Result of Swarm Activities in Toba Region Using Dense Temporary Network. In IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science (Vol. 1288, No. 1, p. 012025). IOP Publishing.

Natawidjaja, D. H. (2018). Updating active fault maps and sliprates along the Sumatran Fault Zone, Indonesia. IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, 118(1), 1–11.

Natawidjaja, D. H., & Triyoso, W. (2007). The Sumatran Fault Zone-from Source to Hazard. Journal of Earthquake and Tsunami, 1(1), 21–47.

Nurana, I., Simanjuntak, A. V., Umar, M., Kuncoro, D. C., Syamsidik, S., & Asnawi, Y. (2021). Spatial Temporal Condition of Recent Seismicity In The Northern Part of Sumatra. Elkawnie: Journal of Islamic Science and Technology, 7(1), 131-145.

Okada, Y. (1992). Internal Deformation due to Shear and Tensile Faults in a Half-Space. In Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (Vol. 82, Issue 2).

Parsons, T., & Dreger, D. S. (2000). Static-stress impact of the 1992 Landers earthquake sequence on nucleation and slip at the site of the 1999 M=7.1 Hector Mine earthquake, southern California. Geophysical Research Letters, 27(13), 1949–1952.

Pasari, S., Simanjuntak, A. V., Neha, & Sharma, Y. (2021). Nowcasting earthquakes in Sulawesi island, Indonesia. Geoscience Letters, 8, 1-13.

Pasari, Sumanta, Andrean VH Simanjuntak, Anand Mehta, Neha, and Yogendra Sharma. "A synoptic view of the natural time distribution and contemporary earthquake hazards in Sumatra, Indonesia." Natural Hazards 108 (2021): 309-321.

Qadariah, Q., Simanjuntak, A. V., & Umar, M. (2018). Analysis of Focal Mechanisms Using Waveform Inversion; Case Study of Pidie Jaya Earthquake December 7, 2016. Journal of Aceh Physics Society, 7(3), 127-132.

Qiu, Q., & Chan, C. H. (2019). Coulomb stress perturbation after great earthquakes in the Sumatran subduction zone: Potential impacts in the surrounding region. Journal of Asian Earth Sciences, 180.

Salman, R., Lindsey, E. O., Feng, L., Bradley, K., Wei, S., Wang, T., Daryono, M. R., & Hill, E. M. (2020). Structural Controls on Rupture Extent of Recent Sumatran Fault Zone Earthquakes, Indonesia. Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 125(2).

Sari, E. P., Idha, R., Asnawi, Y., Simanjuntak, A., Humaidi, S., & Muksin, U. (2023). Faulting Mechanism of Tarutung Earthquake 2022 Mw 5.8 Using Moment Tensor Inversion. Journal of Applied Geospatial Information, 7(1), 840-846.

Sieh, K., & Natawidjaja, D. (2000). Neotectonics of the Sumatran fault, Indonesia. Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 105(B12), 28295–28326.

Simanjuntak, A. V., & Ansari, K. (2022). Seismicity clustering of sequence phenomena in the active tectonic system of backthrust Lombok preceding the sequence 2018 earthquakes. Arabian Journal of Geosciences, 15(23), 1730.

Simanjuntak, A. V., & Ansari, K. (2023). Spatial time cluster analysis and earthquake mechanism for unknown active fault (Kalatoa fault) in the Flores Sea. Earth Science Informatics, 16(3), 2649-2659.

Simanjuntak, A. V., & Ansari, K. (2024). Multivariate hypocenter clustering and source mechanism of 2017 Mw 6.2 and 2019 Mw 6.5 in the South Seram subduction system. Geotechnical and Geological Engineering, 1-14.

Simanjuntak, A. V., & Olymphia, O. (2017). Perbandingan Energi Gempa Bumi Utama dan Susulan (Studi Kasus: Gempa Subduksi Pulau Sumatera dan Jawa). Jurnal Fisika Flux: Jurnal Ilmiah Fisika FMIPA Universitas Lambung Mangkurat, 14(1), 19-26.

Simanjuntak, A. V., Muksin, U., & Sipayung, R. M. (2018, December). Earthquake relocation using HypoDDMethod to investigate active fault system in Southeast Aceh. In Journal of Physics: Conference Series (Vol. 1116, No. 3, p. 032033). IOP Publishing.

Simanjuntak, A. V., Palgunadi, K. H., Supendi, P., Muksin, U., Gunawan, E., Widiyantoro, S., ... & Ida, R. (2024). The western extension of the Balantak Fault revealed by the 2021 earthquake cascade in the central arm of Sulawesi, Indonesia. Geoscience Letters, 11(1), 35.

Siringoringo, L. P., Sapiie, B., Rudyawan, A., & Sucipta, I. G. B. E. (2024). Origin of high heat flow in the back-arc basins of Sumatra: An opportunity for geothermal energy development. Energy Geoscience, 5(3).

Stein, R. S., King, G. C. P., & Lin, J. (1992). Change in failure stress on the southern San Andreas fault system caused by the 1992 magnitude = 7.4 Landers earthquake. Science, 258(5086), 1328–1332.

Stein, R. S., King, G. C. P., & Lin, J. (1994). Stress triggering of the 1994 M = 6.7 Northridge, California, Earthquake by its predecessors. Science, 265(5177), 1432–1435.

Syafriani, S., Raeis, M., & Hamdi. (2020). Local stress and seismic activity at West Sumatra. Journal of Physics: Conference Series, 1481(1).

Toda, S. (2008). Coulomb stresses imparted by the 25 March 2007 Mw=6.6 Noto-Hanto, Japan, earthquake explain its ‘butterfly’ distribution of aftershocks, and suggest a heightened seismic hazard. Earth Planets Space, 60, 1041–1046.

Toda, S., & Stein, R. S. (2002). Response of the San Andreas fault to the 1983 Coalinga‐Nuñez earthquakes: An application of interaction‐based probabilities for Parkfield. Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 107(B6).

Toda, S., Stein, R. S., Reasenberg, P. A., Dieterich, J. H., & Yoshida, A. (1998). Stress transferred by the 1995 Mw = 6.9 Kobe, Japan, shock: Effect on aftershocks and future earthquake probabilities. Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 103(10), 24543–24565.

Toda, S., Stein, R. S., Richards-Dinger, K., & Bozkurt, S. B. (2005). Forecasting the evolution of seismicity in southern California: Animations built on earthquake stress transfer. Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 110(5), 1–17.

Weller, O., Lange, D., Tilmann, F., Natawidjaja, D., Rietbrock, A., Collings, R., & Gregory, L. (2012). The structure of the Sumatran Fault revealed by local seismicity. Geophysical Research Letters, 39(1).

Wells, D. L., & Coppersmith, K. J. (1994). New Empirical Relationships among Magnitude, Rupture Length, Rupture Width, Rupture Area, and Surface Displacement. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 84(4), 974–1002.

Wiemer, S., & Wyss, M. (1994). Seismic Quiescence before the Landers (M = 7.5) and Big Bear (M = 6.5) 1992 Earthquakes. In Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (Vol. 84, Issue 3).

Woessner, J., Jónsson, S., Sudhaus, H., & Baumann, C. (2012). Reliability of Coulomb stress changes inferred from correlated uncertainties of finite-fault source models. Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 117(7).

Downloads

Published

2024-10-07